market	crowd, %	AIs, %	gap, pts	same side	venue	traded
WTI crude oil Oct 26	12.0	37.2	+25.2	✓	Polymarket	$2,665
WTI crude oil Oct 23	85.0	60.6	−24.4	✓	Polymarket	$1,531
S&P 500 Oct 30	10.0	32.7	+22.7	✓	Polymarket	$2,845
S&P 500 Nov 11	89.5	67.1	−22.4	✓	Polymarket	$5,825
S&P 500 Oct 22	8.5	30.9	+22.4	✓	Polymarket	$17,145
Dow Jones Oct 29	73.0	50.9	−22.1	✓	Polymarket	$8,248
Gold Nov 9	84.0	62.0	−22.0	✓	Polymarket	$2,135
WTI crude oil Oct 19	20.0	41.6	+21.6	✓	Polymarket	$11,531
WTI crude oil Oct 20	83.0	61.6	−21.4	✓	Polymarket	$3,736
S&P 500 Nov 4	89.0	67.7	−21.3	✓	Polymarket	$19,423
S&P 500 Oct 19	82.0	61.1	−20.9	✓	Polymarket	$27,449
Dow Jones Nov 4	90.0	70.0	−20.0	✓	Polymarket	$1,221
WTI crude oil Oct 29	20.3	40.2	+19.9	✓	Kalshi	$1,593
WTI crude oil Nov 4	25.0	43.9	+18.9	✓	Polymarket	$1,254
Gold Nov 2	74.0	55.3	−18.7	✓	Polymarket	$1,713