From the trend: Intel's boss warns billions of AI helpers will be hard to control
Will big news outlets report the Intel boss's AI warning by Friday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will big news outlets report the Intel boss's AI warning by Friday?
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 3 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳Kimi🇨🇳StepFun
Wenxin: Big CEO warning on AI safety is headline-worthy and wires pick it up fast
No — 7 AIsYou are here
🇺🇸Claude🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸Grok🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸ChatGPT🇺🇸Nemotron + Mercury🇺🇸Meta
Claude: A small online chat; big news outlets rarely pick up such remarks.
We check it on: reuters.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: reuters.com
The answer is due on Nov 7, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will at least one of Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC or the Associated Press publish an article on Lip-Bu Tan's warning about keeping AI agents safe, or his talk with Hyperbolic's chief executive, by the end of Friday, November 6, 2026 (US Eastern time)? Checked by searching each outlet's website.
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 2 days before the answer was due. Waiting to be fixed for good.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 207 of the book: 00d91c6f7d40fca30d223fc661260716f12f5976bbca0410c9591dc55089985a
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-11-04-224900Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-11-04-224900Z.txt.ots
- The first 207 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 207 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-11-04-224900Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.