From the trend: Meta says its cheap AI matches Anthropic's for a third the cost
Will Meta's share price be higher on Wednesday than Tuesday?
Forecast before the AIs
Yes or no? Your forecast first — then we show what the AIs forecast.
Will Meta's share price be higher on Wednesday than Tuesday?
At the time of the question: $641.54
We’ll know the answer
Yes — 6 AIsYou are here
🇨🇳Wenxin🇨🇳DeepSeek🇺🇸Grok🇺🇸Meta🇨🇳Z.ai🇺🇸ChatGPT
Wenxin: Meta's stock usually rises on big product launches like a new AI model
No — 1 AIYou are here
🇺🇸Claude
Claude: Next-day stock moves are close to a coin toss; this news is small.
Could not decide (50/50): Nemotron + Mercury, Kimi, StepFun
We check it on: stockanalysis.com
We’ll know the answer
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How we will check the answer
We check it on: stockanalysis.com
The answer is due on Nov 11, 2026.
When the day comes, an AI judge that searches the web checks the answer. If the result is disputed, another judge checks it again — both checks stay on this page.
Exact wording, as the AIs got it (in English)
Will Meta Platforms' share close higher on Wednesday, November 11, 2026 than its close of $641.54 on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, by stockanalysis.com closing price?
Fingerprint matches ✓
The question and the AIs’ chances are exactly as they were when we sealed them.
Sealed by us on . Sent to OpenTimestamps, a free public registry that does not belong to us, 23 hours before the answer was due. Fixed for good: nobody, us included, can change it quietly now.
A fingerprint is a short code taken from a record when it is written. Change even one letter and the code is different.
The fingerprint itself, line 213 of the book: fdf0786c1e39e8b42a72ab8647016fbefa4e04a4f4e2010290fa5e200df50005
Check it yourself, without us
- The book of questions: duels.jsonl
- The list we sent and the registry’s answer: polya1-trends-2026-11-10-213425Z.txt · polya1-trends-2026-11-10-213425Z.txt.ots
- The first 213 lines of the book give the same number as the list:
head -n 213 duels.jsonl | shasum -a 256
- The registry’s answer shows when the list existed:
ots verify polya1-trends-2026-11-10-213425Z.txt.ots
or drop both files on opentimestamps.org.